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Appendix 1

90-Day Founding Implementation Plan & Detailed Budget

The detailed implementation plan, delivery structure, milestones, outputs, staffing requirements and financial model for the One Big Change Kenya 90-Day Founding Implementation Programme - 15 September to 15 December 2026, 10 schools across 10 counties, KSh 84,370,000.

1. Purpose of this Appendix

This Appendix sets out the detailed implementation plan, delivery structure, milestones, outputs, staffing requirements and financial model for the proposed One Big Change Kenya 90-Day Founding Implementation Programme. It provides the operational detail supporting the Government Implementation Proposal.

The founding programme is intentionally designed as a controlled pre-scale phase. It does not attempt to deliver intensive implementation support to 6,000 schools within 90 days. Its purpose is to determine whether the One Big Change implementation model:

works in practice
works across different Kenyan education contexts
can identify meaningful school-level implementation barriers
can translate those barriers into practical action
can coordinate appropriate expertise and resources
can generate credible evidence
can build school-level implementation capability
can be replicated responsibly
can be costed accurately for national scale
2. Founding Programme Objective
To establish whether One Big Change can provide a practical, evidence-informed implementation mechanism that helps Kenyan schools translate the existing national CBE, CBC and CBA direction into consistent and sustainable school practice.

The programme will work intensively with ten founding schools in ten different county contexts. The schools are used to test the implementation mechanism. They are not intended to constitute a statistically representative sample of all Kenyan schools.

3. The Founding Question
What does it actually take to make the national education direction work consistently in schools operating under very different circumstances?

That question is broken into six practical questions.

1

What is already working?

What strengths, local capability and good practice already exist?

2

What is getting in the way?

What school, teacher, leadership, assessment, inclusion, wellbeing, resource, technology or community barriers are affecting implementation?

3

What matters most now?

Which barrier should each school prioritise rather than attempting to address everything at once?

4

What support is actually required?

What can the school do itself and what requires external expertise, resources, Government action or Traction Partner support?

5

What changes when action is taken?

Can the programme demonstrate meaningful implementation progress within the founding period?

6

What would responsible national scale require?

What staffing, cost, governance, Hub infrastructure, technology and evidence model would be required for Year 1?

4. Programme Positioning

The founding programme does not seek to redesign Kenya's education policy. The operating relationship is:

Existing national direction

↓

School insight through the Change Lens

↓

Priority identified

↓

Capability and resource requirements identified

↓

Coordinated implementation support

↓

Evidence and learning

↓

Sustainable school capability

↓

National implementation intelligence

5. Founding Phase and Year 1 Are Different Programmes

The programme distinguishes clearly between:

Founding Programme

September to December 2026

Scale: 10 schools, 10 counties, 90 days

Purpose: prove and refine the implementation mechanism

Indicative budget: KSh 84.37 million

Potential Year 1 National Programme

2027 - subject to the December Decision Gate

Architecture: 50 LocaeHubs, approximately 500 Core Implementation Schools, 6,000 Connected Schools in total

Indicative envelope: approximately KSh 1.75 billion

The national programme is not automatically authorised by commissioning the founding programme.

6. What the 90 Days Must Produce for Year 1

The 90-day programme is not simply ten individual school projects. It must generate the assets required to build a national implementation system. These include:

1tested Kenya-adapted Change Lens
2tested school-selection methodology
3tested onboarding process
4tested School Champion model
5ten implementation baselines
6ten implementation cycles
7tested MicroSummit approach
8tested evidence methodology
9school implementation templates
10resource-needs methodology
11Traction Partner matching process
12field-delivery cost evidence
13workforce requirements
14safeguarding and data requirements
15technology requirements
16Hub-readiness methodology
17national implementation assumptions
18Year 1 workforce architecture
19detailed Year 1 budget
20national scale recommendation

The 90-day programme therefore creates the replication package required for Year 1.

Kenyan educators in a classroom planning session

The 90-day programme is built around field-based, school-level implementation work.

7. Geographic Model

The founding cohort will include one school in each of ten different Kenyan counties. The purpose is to test the model in materially different education environments. The programme will seek contexts including:

major urban

Scale, complexity, mobility and institutional density

fast-growing peri-urban

Rapid population growth and infrastructure pressure

coastal

Distinct geographic and community context

rural agricultural

Distance, local economy and rural access

arid or semi-arid

Resource constraints and access challenges

remote or frontier

Distance, staffing and infrastructure constraints

strong-performing education environment

Transferable good practice

lower-resourced context

Practical implementation under constraint

technical or industrial potential

Pathways, STEM and employer relevance

strong institutional connectivity

Universities, public institutions and partner networks

8. Initial County Framework

The working county long-list is:

NairobiKiambuNakuruMombasaKisumuKakamegaUasin GishuMachakosMeruTurkana

These counties are proposed for validation. They are not predetermined final programme sites. Final selection will be completed using the methodology contained in Appendix 4.

9. Founding School Profile

Each selected school should normally have:

  • committed senior leadership
  • named Senior Sponsor
  • named School Champion
  • named Evidence Contact
  • willingness to participate throughout the programme
  • willingness to share both strengths and barriers
  • ability to implement one meaningful priority
  • willingness to participate in national peer learning
  • ability to operate within agreed safeguarding and data requirements

Participation is not inspection. Schools are selected as implementation partners.

10. Programme Delivery Model

The founding programme will operate through nine integrated workstreams.

1

Workstream 1

Mobilisation, Governance & Institutional Alignment

2

Workstream 2

County and School Selection

3

Workstream 3

School Onboarding & Champion Development

4

Workstream 4

Change Lens Baselines

5

Workstream 5

School Implementation Cycles

6

Workstream 6

MicroSummits & Peer Learning

7

Workstream 7

Traction Partner & Resource Mobilisation

8

Workstream 8

Evidence, Research & Learning

9

Workstream 9

Year 1 National Scale Design

11. Workstream 1 - Mobilisation, Governance & Institutional Alignment

This workstream establishes the operating environment before school-facing implementation begins. Activities include:

  • confirm Government contracting arrangements
  • establish Kenyan programme governance
  • confirm executive accountabilities
  • mobilise critical programme roles
  • establish Advisory Committee
  • confirm programme workplan
  • establish financial controls
  • establish procurement processes
  • establish safeguarding framework
  • establish data-protection framework
  • determine research/ethics requirements
  • establish risk register
  • configure programme reporting
  • confirm Ministry liaison arrangements

Primary deliverable

Founding Programme Inception & Mobilisation Report

12. Workstream 2 - County and School Selection

Activities include:

  • validate county-selection criteria
  • confirm ten contexts
  • identify potential schools
  • assess school readiness
  • conduct leadership conversations
  • review programme feasibility
  • complete cohort-balance assessment
  • confirm ten schools
  • establish reserve schools where appropriate

Primary deliverable

10 confirmed founding schools across 10 counties

13. Workstream 3 - School Onboarding & Champion Development

Every participating school will confirm:

Senior Sponsor

Provides institutional leadership.

School Champion

Coordinates implementation.

Evidence Contact

Supports baseline and evidence activity.

Activities include:

  • participation agreement
  • programme orientation
  • safeguarding/data briefing
  • Change Lens orientation
  • Champion induction
  • baseline evidence preparation
  • digital-platform onboarding

Primary deliverable

10 implementation-ready school teams

14. Workstream 4 - Change Lens Baselines

Each school will complete a structured Change Lens diagnostic. The detailed methodology is contained in Appendix 4. Potential domains include:

  • leadership and governance
  • teacher capability
  • teaching and learning
  • CBE/CBC implementation
  • competency-based assessment
  • inclusion
  • wellbeing
  • family and community
  • resources and technology
  • pathways, partnerships and sustainability

The process identifies:

strengths

↓

barriers

↓

priority

↓

capability required

↓

resources required

↓

evidence measure

15. Change Lens Outputs

Each school should receive:

1School Context Summary
2Strengths Profile
3Barrier Profile
4One Big Change Priority
5Implementation Plan
6Capability Requirement
7Resource Needs Profile
8Evidence Plan
9Sustainability Plan

Across all ten schools, the programme will produce:

  • common-barrier map
  • contextual-barrier map
  • strong-practice library
  • capability-needs picture
  • resource-needs matrix
  • potential Hub-readiness picture
16. Workstream 5 - School Implementation Cycles

Following the Change Lens, each school will select one primary implementation priority. The implementation sequence is:

Baseline

↓

Priority

↓

Implementation Plan

↓

Support / Resource

↓

Action

↓

Evidence

↓

Review

↓

Next Step

Each school must move beyond diagnosis into practical implementation.

17. School Implementation Activation Fund

The founding programme includes:

KSh 15,000,000

Direct school implementation activation

Up to KSh 1.5m

Per school (average planning envelope)

It is not an automatic cash grant. Funding follows:

1Change Lens completion
2identified priority
3approved implementation plan
4specific resource requirement
5cost validation
6appropriate procurement
7deployment
8evidence

One school may require less than another. Unused funds remain programme funds.

18. Types of School Implementation Support

Support may include:

  • leadership coaching
  • teacher development
  • CBA support
  • implementation tools
  • inclusion expertise
  • wellbeing support
  • pathway support
  • technology
  • connectivity
  • specialist equipment
  • community engagement
  • expert support
  • resource mobilisation

Support follows identified need.

19. Workstream 6 - MicroSummits & Peer Learning

Each founding school will participate in two structured MicroSummit moments.

MicroSummit 1

Understand and Prioritise

  • understand evidence
  • identify strengths
  • agree priority
  • develop implementation plan
  • identify expertise/resource need

MicroSummit 2

Review and Sustain

  • review implementation
  • examine evidence
  • identify what worked
  • identify what did not
  • determine next step
  • capture transferable learning
20. National Founding Cohort

The ten schools will also participate as one national learning cohort. The cohort will provide:

  • cross-context peer learning
  • sharing of working practice
  • implementation problem-solving
  • national comparison without ranking
  • early testing of future Hub relationships

The schools remain individually accountable for their own implementation.

21. Workstream 7 - Traction Partner & Resource Mobilisation

The Traction Partner model operates according to:

The Change Lens identifies the barrier. The Traction Partner helps remove it.

Potential contributions include:

  • funding
  • equipment
  • devices
  • connectivity
  • software
  • infrastructure
  • expertise
  • professional development
  • research
  • transport
  • specialist support

The detailed model is contained in Appendix 7.

22. Founding Traction Partner Targets

The founding programme will seek to produce:

MeasureTarget
School resource-needs profiles10
National needs matrix1
Potential Traction Partners mappedMinimum 20
Qualified partner conversationsMinimum 10
Evidenced needs mapped to partner categories100%
Written commitmentsActual result reported
Verified cash/in-kind valueActual result reported

The programme will not invent a partner mobilisation result before the evidence exists.

23. Workstream 8 - Evidence, Research & Learning

The founding programme must distinguish:

activity

↓

output

↓

implementation change

↓

early outcome

↓

longer-term impact

The detailed methodology appears in Appendix 5. Every school should have:

  • baseline evidence
  • implementation evidence
  • review evidence
  • limitations
  • sustainability assessment

The founding programme does not attempt to deliver intensive implementation to 6,000 schools in 90 days. It generates the replication package required to do so responsibly.

24. What the Founding Phase Can Prove

Within approximately 90 days the programme may reasonably test:

feasibility
school engagement
implementation methodology
capability change
implementation change
resource coordination
cost
evidence quality
sustainability potential
replication requirements
25. What the Founding Phase Will Not Claim

The programme will not automatically claim:

  • national learner attainment improvement
  • national CBE implementation success
  • transformation of 6,000 schools
  • long-term causal impact
  • proven national Hub performance
  • elimination of resource inequality

Those require additional time and evidence.

26. Workstream 9 - Year 1 National Scale Design

The founding programme must convert what it learns into a costed national model. The working Year 1 architecture is:

50 LocaeHubs

↓

approximately 500 Core Implementation Schools

↓

6,000 Connected Schools in total

The detailed architecture is contained in Appendix 8.

27. Year 1 Scale Design Outputs

The founding phase will determine:

Hub operating standard
Hub size
Hub staffing
facilitator requirements
School Champion requirements
cluster management
digital versus physical delivery
implementation intensity
school activation requirements
evidence model
travel model
national staffing
technology requirements
safeguarding requirements
partner model
unit costs
Year 1 budget
27. Phase 1 - Mobilise & Confirm

15 to 30 September 2026

Core activities:

  • Government inception
  • programme mobilisation
  • governance setup
  • critical leadership mobilisation
  • Advisory Committee formation
  • county validation
  • school selection
  • participation agreements
  • champion nomination
  • evidence-contact nomination
  • safeguarding/data readiness
  • Change Lens preparation
  • travel schedule

Milestone 1

10 founding schools ready for implementation.

28. Phase 2 - Diagnose & Prioritise

October 2026

Core activities:

  • field visits across ten counties
  • Change Lens implementation
  • stakeholder conversations
  • baseline evidence
  • identification of strengths
  • identification of barriers
  • resource mapping
  • first MicroSummits
  • One Big Change priority selection
  • implementation-plan development
  • early Traction Partner mapping

Milestone 2

10 quality-assured school baselines and one preliminary cross-site implementation picture.

29. Phase 3 - Implement & Learn

November 2026

Core activities:

  • approve implementation plans
  • deploy School Implementation Activation resources
  • deliver targeted support
  • provide coaching
  • deploy expertise
  • activate appropriate partner relationships
  • monitor implementation
  • collect evidence
  • facilitate peer learning
  • conduct midpoint reviews
  • begin Hub-readiness analysis
  • begin Year 1 modelling

Milestone 3

10 active implementation cycles producing evidence.

30. Phase 4 - Evidence, Cost & Decide

1 to 15 December 2026

Core activities:

  • second MicroSummits
  • implementation review
  • outcome evidence
  • sustainability assessment
  • ten next-cycle school plans
  • cross-site analysis
  • resource-needs analysis
  • Traction Partner report
  • Change Lens methodology review
  • Hub architecture
  • Year 1 workforce model
  • Year 1 financial model
  • final risk report
  • Decision Gate preparation

Milestone 4

Founding Evidence Pack and Government Decision Gate.

32. Founding Programme Deliverables
RefDeliverableAcceptance Evidence
D1Inception & Mobilisation ReportGovernance, workplan, controls and delivery structure confirmed
D2Founding Cohort Confirmation10 schools in 10 counties
D3School Participation PackSponsors, Champions, Evidence Contacts and agreements
D4Change Lens Baseline Pack10 quality-assured baselines
D5Cross-Site Baseline AnalysisCommon/contextual patterns identified
D6School Implementation Portfolio10 approved priorities and plans
D7Implementation Evidence PackEvidence from 10 implementation cycles
D8Traction Partner Needs MatrixNeeds mapped to potential resource routes
D9Founding Evidence ReportResults, limitations and learning
D10Hub & Replication ArchitectureProposed Year 1 Hub operating model
D11Costed Year 1 ProgrammeNational implementation budget
D12Decision Gate PackRecommendation to proceed, modify, extend or stop
33. Founding Phase Performance Targets
MeasureTarget
Counties represented10
Founding schools10
Senior Sponsors10
School Champions10
Evidence Contacts10
Change Lens baselines10
One Big Change priorities10
Implementation plans10
Implementation cycles10
Initial MicroSummits10
Review MicroSummits10
Cross-site analysis1
National needs matrix1
Year 1 architecture1
Year 1 detailed budget1
Government Decision Gate1

Detailed KPI methodology is contained in Appendix 2.

34. Programme Governance

The founding programme will operate through:

  • Government oversight
  • One Big Change corporate governance
  • Kenya Programme Executive
  • Kenyan Advisory Committee
  • school-level leadership
  • experts/universities/Traction Partners

Detailed accountability and RACI are contained in Appendix 3.

35. Programme Leadership

The proposed founding leadership architecture includes:

Kenya Managing Director / CEO

Overall programme execution and Government accountability.

Education & Implementation Director

School implementation and educational integrity.

People, Appointments & Institutional Networks Director

Senior talent and institutional capability.

Chief of Staff & Operations

Programme coordination and execution.

Evidence, Research & Learning Lead

Evidence integrity.

Safeguarding, Data & Ethics Lead

Safety, data and ethics.

Finance & Programme Control

Financial management and reporting.

Additional specialist and founding director capability supports defined workstreams.

36. Existing and Proposed Leads

Current programme architecture includes proposed responsibilities for:

Yvonne

Founder & Framework Director

Perpetual

Chief of Staff & Operations

Jimmy

Strategic Partnerships & Institutional Relations, Kenya

Terry

Events, Media & Stakeholder Engagement

Trinity

People & Volunteer Operations

Kugan

Commercial & Traction Partner Strategy

Malcolm

Governance

Richard

Narrative, Communications & Influence

Jachukwu

Pan-African Partnerships & Community

Graham

Finance, Resources & Investment

Varun

Digital Strategy & Platform

Critical Kenya appointments remain subject to formal recruitment and confirmation. Names and roles should not be represented as final Government appointments unless formally contracted.

37. Founding Programme Workforce

In addition to leadership, the programme may require:

  • field implementation associates
  • county coordination
  • evidence/data personnel
  • finance support
  • legal counsel
  • safeguarding/data expertise
  • technology support
  • event support
  • volunteers

The ten-county design means the programme cannot rely solely on the central executive team for field delivery.

38. A. Personnel & Programme Leadership
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Kenya Executive TeamThree senior executive functions across mobilisation and deliveryKSh 9,000,000
Operating LeadershipFour operating leadership functionsKSh 5,600,000
Founding Directors / Specialist AdvisersUp to six role-based specialist retainersKSh 5,600,000
County / Field Implementation AssociatesLocal and field implementation supportKSh 3,500,000
SubtotalKSh 23,700,000
39. Governance, Legal & Assurance
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Legal & GovernanceContracting, legal structure, agreements and governanceKSh 2,500,000
Safeguarding, Data, Compliance & AssuranceSafeguarding, privacy, ethics and complianceKSh 1,500,000
Finance, Administration & InsuranceFinance systems, administration and programme insuranceKSh 1,500,000
SubtotalKSh 5,500,000
40. Direct School Implementation
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Ten-School EngagementOnboarding, baseline activity, local coordination and MicroSummitsKSh 5,500,000
School Implementation Activation FundUp to average KSh 1.5m x 10 schools against approved prioritiesKSh 15,000,000
SubtotalKSh 20,500,000
41. Travel & Field Logistics
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Ten-County Field TravelAir/road transport, vehicles, fuel, accommodation and field subsistenceKSh 6,800,000
SubtotalKSh 6,800,000

The ten-county design materially increases field logistics relative to a geographically clustered programme.

42. Change Lens, Research & Evidence
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Change Lens & EvidenceKenya adaptation, training, data collection and synthesisKSh 3,500,000
Independent Evaluation / Research ProvisionEvidence methodology, independent review or research supportKSh 2,000,000
SubtotalKSh 5,500,000

No university cost will be represented as committed until the relevant institutional arrangement is formally agreed.

43. Technology & Data
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Platform & TechnologyHosting, platform adaptation, dashboards, data capability and supportKSh 2,500,000
SubtotalKSh 2,500,000
44. Traction Partner Mobilisation
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Partner ActivationMapping, due diligence, propositions, round tables and resource matchingKSh 1,500,000
SubtotalKSh 1,500,000

External partner cash and in-kind contributions are reported separately from Government programme expenditure.

45. Engagement, Materials & Reporting
Budget ItemBasisAmount
Field Identification & Programme MaterialsProgramme identification and field materialsKSh 1,000,000
Volunteer Support & SubsistenceReasonable volunteer field supportKSh 1,200,000
Launch & Decision GateInception/launch activity and final Government Decision GateKSh 1,500,000
Reports & PlansSchool plans, national analysis and national implementation documentationKSh 1,000,000
SubtotalKSh 4,700,000
46. Year 1 Scale Readiness
Budget ItemBasisAmount
National Scale ArchitectureHub model, 500-school pathway, 6,000-school network, workforce and financial architectureKSh 6,000,000
SubtotalKSh 6,000,000

This funds Year 1 design and readiness. It does not fund implementation across 6,000 schools during the founding programme.

47. Budget Summary
CategoryAmount
Personnel & Programme LeadershipKSh 23,700,000
Governance, Legal & AssuranceKSh 5,500,000
Direct School ImplementationKSh 20,500,000
Travel & Field LogisticsKSh 6,800,000
Change Lens, Research & EvidenceKSh 5,500,000
Technology & DataKSh 2,500,000
Traction Partner MobilisationKSh 1,500,000
Engagement, Materials & ReportingKSh 4,700,000
Year 1 Scale ReadinessKSh 6,000,000
Programme SubtotalKSh 76,700,000
10% Programme ContingencyKSh 7,670,000
TOTAL INDICATIVE PROGRAMME BUDGETKSh 84,370,000
48. What the KSh 84.37 Million Is Buying

Government is not commissioning:

ten workshops for ten schools.

The proposed commission buys:

national programme mobilisation
Kenya programme leadership
legal and governance infrastructure
ten-county implementation
ten Change Lens diagnostics
ten school implementation cycles
direct implementation resources
evidence
technology
partner mobilisation
risk and safeguarding systems
field delivery
national implementation intelligence
Hub methodology
Year 1 operating model
Year 1 workforce architecture
detailed Year 1 budget
formal national scale recommendation
49. Contingency

The proposed contingency is:

KSh 7,670,000

Programme contingency

10%

Of programme subtotal

It may be used only against approved delivery risks such as:

  • field cost variance
  • transport disruption
  • essential specialist support
  • unexpected technology requirements
  • compliance requirements
  • school-access changes
  • approved implementation risks

It is not discretionary programme surplus.

50. Proposed Payment Milestones

Any payment structure remains subject to the lawful Government contracting mechanism. The current proposed structure is:

StageTrigger%Amount
Payment 1Contract effectiveness and approved inception requirements35%KSh 29,529,500
Payment 2Ten schools onboarded and baseline deliverables accepted30%KSh 25,311,000
Payment 3Implementation cycles active and interim evidence accepted20%KSh 16,874,000
Payment 4Final evidence, Year 1 architecture and Decision Gate outputs accepted15%KSh 12,655,500
Total100%KSh 84,370,000
51. Payment Principle

Payment follows accepted deliverables. For example:

Activity

Ten school visits completed.

This does not necessarily constitute milestone acceptance.

Deliverable

Ten quality-assured Change Lens baselines completed and accepted.

That is a measurable contractual output.

52. Financial Control

Programme finance will follow the detailed control environment contained in Appendix 9. Controls include:

  • approved programme budget
  • cost centres
  • delegated authority
  • separation of financial duties
  • procurement records
  • supplier documentation
  • school activation controls
  • monthly reconciliations
  • budget versus actual reporting
  • asset controls
  • conflict declarations
  • audit readiness
53. Value for Money

The founding phase will collect the evidence required to calculate:

  • cost per founding school
  • cost per baseline
  • cost per implementation cycle
  • cost per county field mission
  • evidence cost
  • technology cost
  • implementation-support requirement
  • resource leverage

These actual costs become inputs to the Year 1 financial model.

54. Government Inputs Required

The programme will require timely cooperation from the commissioning institution. Potential inputs include:

  • appropriate Government Programme Sponsor
  • Technical Liaison Officer
  • institutional coordination
  • appropriate school-selection input
  • access to relevant non-confidential implementation information
  • appropriate introductions to statutory institutions
  • milestone review
  • Decision Gate participation

One Big Change does not ask Government to delegate its statutory functions.

55. Pre-Mobilisation Gate

School-facing implementation should not begin until critical control conditions are complete. These include:

contract in force
leadership accountability confirmed
finance architecture established
programme workplan approved
safeguarding policy operational
data framework operational
risk register operational
school participation process approved
Change Lens ready
fieldwork process ready
relevant insurance in place
research/ethics requirements reviewed

The date alone does not trigger field implementation. Readiness does.

56. Programme Risks

Key risks include:

contracting delay
senior recruitment delay
school withdrawal
ten-county logistics
school burden
safeguarding
inappropriate data collection
evidence overstatement
financial misuse
partner influence
political perception
insufficient 90-day outcome window
scale assumptions proving unrealistic

The detailed risk framework is contained in Appendix 6.

57. December Decision Gate

The founding programme culminates in a formal Government Decision Gate. The Decision Gate asks:

Relevance

Did the programme address a real implementation need?

Effectiveness

Did schools move from identified barrier to practical action?

Adaptability

Did the model function across different contexts?

Evidence

Are the findings sufficiently credible?

Cost

What did implementation actually cost?

Sustainability

Can schools continue the change?

Additionality

Did the programme add something not already provided by existing structures?

Resource Leverage

Did the model mobilise useful additional capability or resources?

Scale

Can the approach responsibly support a wider national programme?

58. Decision Gate Options

The December decision may be:

Proceed

Evidence supports Year 1.

Proceed with Modification

Evidence supports scale but requires redesign.

Extend Founding Phase

Promising evidence exists but additional validation is required.

Do Not Scale

Evidence does not justify further public investment.

There is no automatic Year 1 approval.

59. How the 90 Days Become Year 1

The transition is:

September to December 2026

10 schools

Prove and codify.

↓

Quarter 1 2027

10 LocaeHubs / ~100 Core / ~1,200 Connected

Prove replication.

↓

Quarter 2 2027

25 LocaeHubs / ~250 Core / ~3,000 Connected

Expand under evidence.

↓

Quarter 3 2027

50 LocaeHubs / ~500 Core / ~5,000 Connected

Complete the implementation infrastructure.

↓

Quarter 4 2027

50 LocaeHubs / ~500 Core / 6,000 Connected

Consolidate, evidence, recognise and sustain.

The detailed scale pathway is contained in Appendix 8.

60. Critical Distinction

The founding programme does not assume:

Ten schools recruit 5,990 more schools.

Instead:

Ten schools generate the implementation knowledge required to train people, create Hubs, establish systems and replicate the model through controlled national implementation waves.

Scale is carried by the national programme infrastructure. Not by ten founding schools alone.

61. What Must Be True Before Year 1

Before Government is asked to commit to national scale, there should be evidence that:

  • the Change Lens works
  • schools engage
  • priorities can be converted into action
  • the implementation cycle works
  • school champions can carry responsibility
  • evidence can be collected
  • partner resources can be governed
  • safeguarding works
  • data can be protected
  • financial controls work
  • Hub assumptions are plausible
  • staffing ratios are understood
  • unit costs are credible
62. Year 1 Planning Envelope

The current national planning assumption is:

Approximately KSh 1.75 billion

12-month Year 1 programme

for a 12-month programme potentially supporting:

  • 50 LocaeHubs
  • approximately 500 Core Implementation Schools
  • 6,000 Connected Schools in total
  • national programme office
  • Hub facilitators
  • School Champions
  • technology
  • evidence
  • resource mobilisation
  • LocaeAwards
  • LocaeFest

This is an indicative planning assumption. It is not an approved Government commitment.

63. Founding Investment + Year 1

If both stages were subsequently commissioned at current indicative values:

KSh 84.37m

Founding Programme

KSh 1.75bn

Year 1 National Programme

KSh 1.83bn

Combined

across the founding and first national implementation cycle. The two decisions remain contractually and evidentially separate.

64. Additional Resource Potential

The Year 1 planning model may also test an ambition of approximately:

KSh 1 billion to KSh 3 billion

Additional verified Traction Partner value

in additional verified Traction Partner cash and in-kind value. This is an ambition, not secured funding. Any realised resources will be reported separately from Government expenditure.

65. Core Value Proposition

The founding programme gives Government a controlled way to answer:

Can this work before we fund national scale?

Rather than:

Commit to a national programme first and discover later whether the model works.

The KSh 84.37 million programme therefore creates:

proof
cost evidence
implementation intelligence
delivery methodology
workforce architecture
resource architecture
governance
national scale design

before the much larger Year 1 decision.

66. Founding Programme Success Statement

The founding phase will be considered successful if Government can reasonably conclude:

The One Big Change model helped participating schools identify meaningful implementation barriers, translate them into practical action, coordinate appropriate support, generate credible evidence and build stronger local implementation capability, and there is sufficient evidence to justify controlled wider replication.
67. Core Founding Promise
The first 90 days are not the national programme. They are the evidence base from which the national programme is built.

Ten schools allow the model to be tested deeply.

Ten counties test adaptability.

The Change Lens identifies what matters.

Implementation demonstrates whether action follows.

Evidence shows what changed.

Actual cost informs the national budget.

The Decision Gate determines whether Government should scale.

And only then does One Big Change move from:

10 schools

↓

50 LocaeHubs

↓

approximately 500 Core Implementation Schools

↓

6,000 Connected Schools in total